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Red283
3481151.9
4183162.5
7059128.2
Blue346
418154.2
2468174.2
3158123.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326335100200300400500600283346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.50.3
162.2162.5
Auto25.5
Teleop121.8
End15.2
blue by 11.7
174.20.0
174.5174.4
Auto25.9
Teleop127.1
End22.2
Second
151.90.3
151.6151.9
Auto18.7
Teleop117.9
End18.6
blue by 2.3
418
#27
154.20.1
154.5154.5
Auto19.7
Teleop130.8
End4.3
Third
7059
#24
128.20.2
128.4128.2
Auto17.9
Teleop95.9
End14.8
red by 4.6
3158
#13
123.70.1
123.6123.7
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End13.2