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Red412
4587170.3
1477173.1
6377131.6
Blue307
5414133.0
192152.7
231140.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398293100200500600700412307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.10.9
167.9168.9
Auto20.1
Teleop129.9
End26.6
red by 20.4
192
#10
152.70.3
152.1152.5
Auto22.8
Teleop115.7
End13.7
Second
170.30.3
168.1168.4
Auto26.2
Teleop130.2
End13.5
red by 30.1
231
#22
140.10.3
139.5139.9
Auto13.1
Teleop113.4
End13.7
Third
6377
#37
131.60.0
130.9131.0
Auto15.8
Teleop100.7
End18.5
blue by 1.4
5414
#14
133.00.8
131.5132.3
Auto19.2
Teleop102.3
End13.6