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Red369
5417142.1
4328123.4
6321120.1
Blue162
672793.0
5414133.0
4694102.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25128702004006008001,000369162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.10.8
125.2124.5
Auto16.2
Teleop114.7
End8.9
red by 9.1
5414
#14
133.07.8
93.7101.6
Auto19.2
Teleop102.3
End13.6
Second
4328
#27
123.48.8
86.094.8
Auto16.2
Teleop97.9
End11.3
red by 21.2
4694
#35
102.29.2
90.9100.1
Auto16.0
Teleop83.7
End0.8
Third
6321
#12
120.12.5
106.1108.7
Auto18.7
Teleop92.4
End12.3
red by 27.1
6727
#20
93.09.5
90.499.9
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed