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Red70
6488112.1
3728101.5
5829120.0
Blue311
6754111.3
2966106.7
3999144.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26326010015020030035070311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5829
#26
120.04.7
111.3116.1
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End13.1
blue by 24.4
144.45.1
106.6111.7
Auto20.8
Teleop106.7
End19.1
Second
6488
#23
112.19.1
85.494.5
Auto16.2
Teleop85.1
End8.5
red by 0.8
6754
#39DQ
111.35.7
92.998.7
Auto13.6
Teleop87.6
End12.1
Third
3728
#30
101.54.2
86.490.6
Auto15.5
Teleop79.2
End5.5
blue by 5.2
2966
#33
106.79.3
77.586.8
Auto13.7
Teleop87.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed