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Red224
6547106.2
672793.0
5986143.9
Blue65
429598.8
5908118.9
295098.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28324310020040050022465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.96.3
106.8113.1
Auto16.4
Teleop112.9
End12.4
red by 25.1
5908
#19
118.95.8
100.4106.1
Auto16.8
Teleop93.5
End10.3
Second
6547
#38
106.22.9
119.7122.5
Auto13.0
Teleop81.8
End11.7
red by 7.5
4295
#32
98.87.2
92.9100.1
Auto13.8
Teleop79.0
End4.0
Third
6727
#20
93.03.7
99.9103.7
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End8.1
blue by 5.3
2950
#36
98.34.2
105.0109.2
Auto14.2
Teleop75.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed