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Qual 212018 Lone Star Central Regional
Red431
3728101.5
3847136.8
192152.7
Blue279
6547106.2
5892131.6
2966106.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332271100200300400500431279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#10
152.71.8
154.7→156.4
Auto22.8
Teleop115.7
End13.7
red by 21.1
5892
#17
131.63.3
115.2→118.5
Auto15.4
Teleop101.6
End16.4
Second
3847
#11
136.88.6
129.1→137.7
Auto21.8
Teleop103.3
End10.1
red by 30.1
2966
#33
106.76.8
93.4→100.1
Auto13.7
Teleop87.8
End4.6
Third
3728
#30
101.51.5
90.6→92.1
Auto15.5
Teleop79.2
End5.5
blue by 4.7
6547
#38
106.21.5
122.5→124.1
Auto13.0
Teleop81.8
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed