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Red256
711589.3
231140.1
441139.7
Blue342
5417142.1
5908118.9
5986143.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239293100200400256342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#22
140.13.5
143.8140.3
Auto13.1
Teleop113.4
End13.7
blue by 3.8
143.93.5
124.9128.4
Auto16.4
Teleop112.9
End12.4
Second
441
#25
139.72.7
127.3129.9
Auto13.4
Teleop110.4
End16.5
blue by 2.4
142.11.7
127.8129.5
Auto16.2
Teleop114.7
End8.9
Third
7115
#40
89.30.8
91.690.8
Auto10.1
Teleop75.4
End3.1
blue by 29.6
5908
#19
118.91.3
107.9109.1
Auto16.8
Teleop93.5
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed