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Red319
5892131.6
2587146.9
5414133.0
Blue231
5427156.4
4639131.3
672793.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259329100200300400500600319231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#13
146.91.4
138.7140.1
Auto20.1
Teleop112.6
End15.7
blue by 9.5
156.45.3
143.8149.2
Auto19.6
Teleop119.6
End16.3
Second
5414
#14
133.04.3
117.7122.0
Auto19.2
Teleop102.3
End13.6
red by 1.7
4639
#15
131.33.4
128.4131.9
Auto19.3
Teleop93.6
End21.2
Third
5892
#17
131.61.3
120.0121.3
Auto15.4
Teleop101.6
End16.4
red by 38.6
6727
#20
93.02.1
102.5100.5
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed