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Qual 592018 Lone Star Central Regional
Red368
711589.3
5261115.6
5417142.1
Blue197
4639131.3
3847136.8
429598.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248314100200400500600368197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#6
142.12.4
131.5→133.9
Auto16.2
Teleop114.7
End8.9
red by 5.3
3847
#11
136.80.8
140.3→139.5
Auto21.8
Teleop103.3
End10.1
Second
5261
#21
115.61.5
110.3→111.9
Auto17.3
Teleop91.4
End5.8
blue by 15.6
4639
#15
131.30.5
131.9→132.3
Auto19.3
Teleop93.6
End21.2
Third
7115
#40
89.32.1
91.2→89.1
Auto10.1
Teleop75.4
End3.1
blue by 9.5
4295
#32
98.81.6
105.5→103.9
Auto13.8
Teleop79.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed