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Red195
6377131.6
711589.3
5892131.6
Blue298
3103110.1
6951121.8
3999144.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523100100200400500600195298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#17
131.63.2
123.2126.4
Auto15.4
Teleop101.6
End16.4
blue by 12.8
144.43.4
135.0138.3
Auto20.8
Teleop106.7
End19.1
Second
6377
#37
131.61.1
129.6130.7
Auto15.8
Teleop100.7
End18.5
red by 9.8
121.80.1
118.9118.8
Auto14.3
Teleop96.6
End13.8
Third
7115
#40
89.30.2
89.189.3
Auto10.1
Teleop75.4
End3.1
blue by 20.8
3103
#31
110.12.9
117.2114.2
Auto15.4
Teleop83.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed