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Red192
5261115.6
429598.8
6321120.1
Blue351
5427156.4
231140.1
6488112.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1983620100300400500600192351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6321
#12
120.11.1
118.9119.9
Auto18.7
Teleop92.4
End12.3
blue by 36.3
156.42.0
151.4153.4
Auto19.6
Teleop119.6
End16.3
Second
5261
#21
115.61.2
114.5115.8
Auto17.3
Teleop91.4
End5.8
blue by 24.5
231
#22
140.11.1
137.1138.2
Auto13.1
Teleop113.4
End13.7
Third
4295
#32
98.80.8
101.1100.3
Auto13.8
Teleop79.0
End4.0
blue by 13.3
6488
#23
112.10.5
112.3111.9
Auto16.2
Teleop85.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed