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Red224
3735133.0
5829120.0
2966106.7
Blue351
711589.3
2587146.9
1477173.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234322100200400500600224351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#18
133.02.7
129.1131.8
Auto12.0
Teleop107.6
End14.7
blue by 40.1
173.12.8
165.2167.9
Auto20.1
Teleop129.9
End26.6
Second
5829
#26
120.00.8
121.2120.5
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End13.1
blue by 26.8
2587
#13
146.90.7
144.6145.3
Auto20.1
Teleop112.6
End15.7
Third
2966
#33
106.70.2
106.5106.7
Auto13.7
Teleop87.8
End4.6
red by 17.4
7115
#40
89.30.4
89.388.9
Auto10.1
Teleop75.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed