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Red343
5417142.1
7179159.7
5908118.9
Blue325
3847136.8
5427156.4
5892131.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331304150200250350400450500343325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.70.6
157.5158.1
Auto18.5
Teleop122.0
End20.0
red by 3.2
156.40.3
155.8156.1
Auto19.6
Teleop119.6
End16.3
Second
142.10.4
140.8141.2
Auto16.2
Teleop114.7
End8.9
red by 5.3
3847
#11
136.80.0
136.7136.7
Auto21.8
Teleop103.3
End10.1
Third
5908
#19
118.90.6
116.6117.3
Auto16.8
Teleop93.5
End10.3
blue by 12.8
5892
#17
131.60.5
130.6131.1
Auto15.4
Teleop101.6
End16.4