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Semifinal 2-22018 Lone Star Central Regional
Red316
5417142.1
7179159.7
5908118.9
Blue299
3847136.8
5427156.4
5892131.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332305150200250400450500316299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7179
#3
159.70.6
158.1→158.7
Auto18.5
Teleop122.0
End20.0
red by 3.2
5427
#4
156.40.3
156.1→156.4
Auto19.6
Teleop119.6
End16.3
Second
5417
#6
142.10.4
141.2→141.6
Auto16.2
Teleop114.7
End8.9
red by 5.3
3847
#11
136.80.0
136.7→136.8
Auto21.8
Teleop103.3
End10.1
Third
5908
#19
118.90.6
117.3→117.9
Auto16.8
Teleop93.5
End10.3
blue by 12.8
5892
#17
131.60.5
131.1→131.6
Auto15.4
Teleop101.6
End16.4