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Red458
846160.0
1619195.7
4610117.5
Blue245
1817121.6
6672159.1
2657143.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383300200500600458245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.71.2
193.3194.5
Auto23.8
Teleop134.8
End40.4
red by 36.6
159.10.7
157.9158.6
Auto18.7
Teleop119.2
End23.9
Second
846
#4
160.00.7
158.6159.3
Auto22.5
Teleop122.4
End15.2
red by 16.1
2657
#15
143.90.8
142.4143.2
Auto18.6
Teleop107.7
End19.4
Third
4610
#35
117.50.2
116.9117.2
Auto15.7
Teleop88.4
End14.2
blue by 4.1
1817
#25
121.60.1
121.9121.8
Auto15.7
Teleop95.9
End7.7