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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Hub City Regional
Red370
1817121.6
6672159.1
2657143.9
Blue297
3481135.1
4063137.9
3679119.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339273100200300400500600370297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#5
159.10.5
155.1→155.6
Auto18.7
Teleop119.2
End23.9
red by 21.2
4063
#10
137.90.3
137.3→137.6
Auto21.5
Teleop102.1
End14.8
Second
2657
#15
143.90.7
138.8→139.5
Auto18.6
Teleop107.7
End19.4
red by 8.8
3481
#11
135.10.6
134.0→134.6
Auto16.8
Teleop106.5
End10.9
Third
1817
#25
121.60.6
124.1→123.4
Auto15.7
Teleop95.9
End7.7
red by 2.2
3679
#31
119.40.2
119.8→119.6
Auto15.3
Teleop88.9
End16.0