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Red452
5572172.8
4610117.5
2359142.3
Blue45
6199105.3
228397.4
4364102.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291225010020040050045245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.87.4
105.5112.9
Auto19.8
Teleop133.0
End24.6
red by 67.4
6199
#38
105.35.1
97.0102.1
Auto13.4
Teleop80.5
End12.3
Second
2359
#18
142.34.1
111.3115.4
Auto17.1
Teleop116.1
End7.0
red by 40.1
4364
#27
102.22.6
100.7103.3
Auto14.9
Teleop83.0
End7.5
Third
4610
#35
117.55.2
98.6103.8
Auto15.7
Teleop88.4
End14.2
red by 20.1
2283
#34
97.43.4
104.5107.9
Auto11.8
Teleop82.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed