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Red222
4799106.2
3679119.4
5312119.8
Blue383
4219133.1
5572172.8
1817121.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2033350100300400500222383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5312
#16
119.81.9
102.3104.1
Auto16.3
Teleop95.9
End7.1
blue by 53.0
172.88.2
120.8129.1
Auto19.8
Teleop133.0
End24.6
Second
3679
#31
119.42.8
111.1113.9
Auto15.3
Teleop88.9
End16.0
blue by 13.7
133.16.7
106.6113.3
Auto16.3
Teleop95.8
End17.0
Third
4799
#30
106.20.6
100.5101.1
Auto15.5
Teleop84.0
End8.2
blue by 15.3
1817
#25
121.63.7
113.2116.9
Auto15.7
Teleop95.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed