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Red388
1619195.7
3366131.1
588898.6
Blue145
5052107.9
374391.2
6199105.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172110100400500388145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.71.5
155.4156.9
Auto23.8
Teleop134.8
End40.4
red by 87.7
5052
#14
107.95.1
108.7113.8
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End3.1
Second
3366
#22
131.14.2
121.3125.6
Auto18.1
Teleop99.6
End13.2
red by 25.8
6199
#38
105.32.4
102.0104.4
Auto13.4
Teleop80.5
End12.3
Third
5888
#37
98.60.4
96.096.4
Auto15.6
Teleop78.4
End1.8
red by 7.4
3743
#39
91.21.0
102.0100.9
Auto11.0
Teleop71.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed