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Qual 382018 Hub City Regional
Red320
4734101.6
3931156.1
4364102.2
Blue166
2158106.2
3366131.1
4219133.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251300100150200350400450320166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#3
156.15.9
127.6→133.5
Auto25.0
Teleop114.2
End18.7
red by 23.0
4219
#7
133.16.7
113.3→120.0
Auto16.3
Teleop95.8
End17.0
Second
4364
#27
102.21.3
98.1→99.4
Auto14.9
Teleop83.0
End7.5
blue by 28.9
3366
#22
131.15.7
125.6→131.3
Auto18.1
Teleop99.6
End13.2
Third
4734
#32
101.60.3
105.9→106.2
Auto15.3
Teleop79.5
End3.3
blue by 4.6
2158
#36
106.22.7
114.7→112.0
Auto12.5
Teleop84.8
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed