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Red419
5526116.3
1619195.7
4063137.9
Blue226
2359142.3
3679119.4
7271101.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317248100200400500419226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.75.5
160.9166.3
Auto23.8
Teleop134.8
End40.4
red by 53.4
2359
#18
142.36.1
129.9136.1
Auto17.1
Teleop116.1
End7.0
Second
4063
#10
137.94.5
124.2128.7
Auto21.5
Teleop102.1
End14.8
red by 18.5
3679
#31
119.44.3
116.9121.3
Auto15.3
Teleop88.9
End16.0
Third
5526
#12
116.30.4
106.5106.9
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.1
red by 14.8
7271
#20
101.50.5
104.8104.3
Auto15.1
Teleop83.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed