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Red390
464188.6
5613117.8
3481135.1
Blue147
3366131.1
4734101.6
228397.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2122940100400500390147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#11
135.10.7
126.2125.5
Auto16.8
Teleop106.5
End10.9
red by 4.0
3366
#22
131.12.0
131.3133.3
Auto18.1
Teleop99.6
End13.2
Second
5613
#24
117.81.0
111.8110.8
Auto17.0
Teleop90.7
End12.6
red by 16.2
4734
#32
101.61.2
106.2107.4
Auto15.3
Teleop79.5
End3.3
Third
4641
#40
88.63.4
96.292.8
Auto12.9
Teleop72.1
End4.7
blue by 8.8
2283
#34
97.41.8
107.1105.3
Auto11.8
Teleop82.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed