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Red285
3526163.9
6800128.6
464188.6
Blue298
4364102.2
5572172.8
5866112.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042640100200400500600285298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.91.2
152.6153.8
Auto19.1
Teleop124.0
End20.8
blue by 8.9
172.815.4
80.195.5
Auto19.8
Teleop133.0
End24.6
Second
6800
#21
128.685.5
163.277.7
Auto18.8
Teleop98.0
End11.2
red by 15.9
5866
#17
112.716.3
71.687.9
Auto12.3
Teleop90.8
End5.4
Third
4641
#40
88.616.7
68.485.1
Auto12.9
Teleop72.1
End4.7
blue by 13.6
4364
#27
102.216.0
74.390.3
Auto14.9
Teleop83.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed