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Red133
464188.6
4301102.7
5526116.3
Blue287
1817121.6
4355125.0
3481135.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2003280100300400500133287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5526
#12
116.33.7
109.8113.5
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.1
blue by 18.8
3481
#11
135.12.8
128.0130.8
Auto16.8
Teleop106.5
End10.9
Second
4301
#19
102.70.0
103.3103.2
Auto15.5
Teleop82.6
End3.7
blue by 22.3
4355
#13
125.03.5
117.6121.1
Auto18.4
Teleop91.2
End13.8
Third
4641
#40
88.61.3
93.392.0
Auto12.9
Teleop72.1
End4.7
blue by 32.9
1817
#25
121.60.2
126.0126.2
Auto15.7
Teleop95.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed