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Red337
4219133.1
2240116.9
228397.4
Blue297
7271101.5
3526163.9
6199105.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2293170100200400500337297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133.12.7
126.8129.5
Auto16.3
Teleop95.8
End17.0
blue by 30.8
163.91.6
157.3158.9
Auto19.1
Teleop124.0
End20.8
Second
2240
#26
116.90.5
114.9115.3
Auto15.7
Teleop86.4
End15.4
red by 11.5
6199
#38
105.30.4
105.9105.5
Auto13.4
Teleop80.5
End12.3
Third
2283
#34
97.43.4
101.798.3
Auto11.8
Teleop82.4
End1.7
blue by 4.1
7271
#20
101.52.0
103.3101.3
Auto15.1
Teleop83.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed