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Red396
6199105.3
1619195.7
418151.9
Blue158
3481135.1
5526116.3
2158106.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303286100200400500396158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.711.3
118.5129.8
Auto23.8
Teleop134.8
End40.4
red by 60.6
3481
#11
135.113.7
95.7109.4
Auto16.8
Teleop106.5
End10.9
Second
418
#8
151.96.7
106.2112.9
Auto19.2
Teleop125.1
End5.8
red by 35.6
5526
#12
116.315.0
83.998.9
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.1
Third
6199
#38
105.316.8
67.784.5
Auto13.4
Teleop80.5
End12.3
blue by 0.9
2158
#36
106.27.3
104.2111.5
Auto12.5
Teleop84.8
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed