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Red388
418151.9
4717104.3
2158106.2
Blue134
5312119.8
5783116.1
5613117.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269242100200300400388134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#8
151.92.9
144.9147.8
Auto19.2
Teleop125.1
End5.8
red by 32.1
5312
#16
119.80.4
119.4119.8
Auto16.3
Teleop95.9
End7.1
Second
2158
#36
106.20.6
105.7106.2
Auto12.5
Teleop84.8
End11.8
blue by 11.6
5613
#24
117.81.5
116.4117.8
Auto17.0
Teleop90.7
End12.6
Third
104.30.6
102.2102.9
Auto13.5
Teleop77.5
End13.0
blue by 11.8
5783
#28
116.11.3
118.7117.4
Auto14.7
Teleop89.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed