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Red199
6898128.7
6171122.7
5057116.5
Blue191
5431168.7
5726120.4
9995119.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29136002006008001,000199191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6898
Unranked
128.70.0
128.7128.7
Auto19.1
Teleop93.4
End19.0
blue by 40.0
5431
Unranked
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Second
6171
Unranked
122.70.0
122.7122.7
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
red by 2.3
5726
Unranked
120.40.0
120.4120.4
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
Third
5057
Unranked
116.50.0
116.5116.5
Auto13.1
Teleop90.3
End16.5
blue by 2.7
9995
Unranked
119.20.0
119.2119.2
Auto13.8
Teleop94.9
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest odds41%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds10%Face the Boss odds