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Red256
6171122.7
6800161.2
9999119.2
Blue323
5726120.4
1296166.6
3802171.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633690200600800256323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
Unranked
161.20.0
161.2161.2
Auto20.2
Teleop127.9
End15.2
blue by 9.9
3802
Unranked
171.10.0
171.1171.1
Auto17.9
Teleop138.7
End14.8
Second
6171
Unranked
122.70.0
122.7122.7
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
blue by 43.9
1296
Unranked
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Third
9999
Unranked
119.20.0
119.2119.2
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
blue by 1.2
5726
Unranked
120.40.0
120.4120.4
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest odds72%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds