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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Lone Star South Regional
Red403
5414146.7
3802171.1
6488105.8
Blue170
3735136.5
2881117.2
6363104.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3511720100300400500600700403170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#5
171.10.6
169.5→170.1
Auto17.9
Teleop138.7
End14.8
red by 34.6
3735
#20
136.50.1
136.6→136.5
Auto14.4
Teleop105.2
End18.9
Second
5414
#7
146.70.1
146.9→146.8
Auto21.2
Teleop116.8
End5.7
red by 29.6
2881
#9
117.20.0
117.2→117.2
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End9.6
Third
6488
#19
105.80.4
106.9→106.5
Auto15.0
Teleop83.1
End4.9
red by 1.5
6363
#22
104.30.7
105.0→104.3
Auto18.0
Teleop78.8
End5.8