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Red45
3834113.8
289794.3
5923124.2
Blue422
2582134.2
1255132.8
3735136.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166346010020030040050045422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5923
#11
124.23.4
92.395.7
Auto14.5
Teleop90.9
End19.5
blue by 12.3
3735
#20
136.52.5
136.1138.6
Auto14.4
Teleop105.2
End18.9
Second
3834
#21
113.84.3
94.598.8
Auto13.0
Teleop89.4
End13.5
blue by 20.4
2582
#16
134.25.7
104.4110.1
Auto16.0
Teleop100.0
End17.5
Third
2897
#30
94.36.8
87.394.1
Auto13.3
Teleop75.6
End5.8
blue by 38.5
132.82.1
115.3117.4
Auto18.0
Teleop102.6
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed