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Red200
5414146.7
2882122.9
6488105.8
Blue259
6898120.3
7312109.9
6111122.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012330100200400500200259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.70.6
132.2132.8
Auto21.2
Teleop116.8
End5.7
red by 24.3
6111
#10
122.58.2
91.199.3
Auto17.2
Teleop98.1
End8.2
Second
2882
#17
122.98.4
100.9109.3
Auto13.7
Teleop98.9
End11.7
red by 2.6
6898
#12
120.30.2
122.8123.0
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End8.4
Third
6488
#19
105.80.5
111.6111.0
Auto15.0
Teleop83.1
End4.9
blue by 4.1
7312
#18
109.93.4
88.692.0
Auto15.2
Teleop84.5
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed