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Red94
5427145.8
507088.7
6488105.8
Blue229
6800153.1
6111122.5
647100.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27229310015020025035040045094229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#14
145.80.2
156.3156.4
Auto19.5
Teleop115.7
End10.1
blue by 7.3
153.13.4
141.7145.0
Auto20.7
Teleop120.5
End12.4
Second
6488
#19
105.81.0
109.2108.3
Auto15.0
Teleop83.1
End4.9
blue by 16.7
6111
#10
122.54.0
104.9108.9
Auto17.2
Teleop98.1
End8.2
Third
5070
#25
88.70.3
104.4104.1
Auto10.1
Teleop68.4
End8.3
blue by 12.2
647
#27
100.91.3
120.7119.4
Auto10.2
Teleop84.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed