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Red199
6898120.3
4587183.7
6363104.3
Blue401
2882122.9
1255132.8
7312109.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352280100200300400500600199401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.71.2
174.0175.1
Auto27.6
Teleop143.3
End14.0
red by 50.9
132.81.4
123.9125.3
Auto18.0
Teleop102.6
End12.9
Second
6898
#12
120.30.2
122.8123.0
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End8.4
blue by 2.6
2882
#17
122.90.9
114.5115.4
Auto13.7
Teleop98.9
End11.7
Third
6363
#22
104.30.6
108.2108.8
Auto18.0
Teleop78.8
End5.8
blue by 5.6
7312
#18
109.93.5
98.1101.6
Auto15.2
Teleop84.5
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed