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Red159
4192143.1
647100.9
1255132.8
Blue378
6488105.8
118229.0
2582134.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283640100300400500600700159378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#13
143.10.0
138.7138.7
Auto20.7
Teleop113.0
End11.9
blue by 85.9
118
#2
229.00.3
214.8215.1
Auto27.5
Teleop163.0
End41.6
Second
132.80.9
125.3126.2
Auto18.0
Teleop102.6
End12.9
blue by 1.4
2582
#16
134.21.0
138.8137.8
Auto16.0
Teleop100.0
End17.5
Third
647
#27
100.91.7
116.4114.7
Auto10.2
Teleop84.5
End5.9
blue by 4.9
6488
#19
105.80.2
105.2105.5
Auto15.0
Teleop83.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed33%Face the Boss oddsEarned