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Red270
2587138.3
5829118.7
3834113.8
Blue333
3103110.0
1745132.1
2882122.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042380100200400500600700800270333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#15
138.30.2
139.9140.1
Auto18.1
Teleop110.4
End9.1
red by 6.2
132.11.5
113.0114.5
Auto21.0
Teleop93.1
End21.0
Second
5829
#28
118.70.5
118.4118.9
Auto14.8
Teleop93.3
End11.3
blue by 4.2
2882
#17
122.90.0
115.4115.4
Auto13.7
Teleop98.9
End11.7
Third
3834
#21
113.83.1
102.6105.7
Auto13.0
Teleop89.4
End13.5
red by 3.8
3103
#24
110.00.4
108.3108.7
Auto17.2
Teleop79.3
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed