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Red124
3103110.0
2582134.2
5923124.2
Blue351
6488105.8
6800153.1
3802171.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2473510100200300400500600124351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#16
134.20.7
137.8138.5
Auto16.0
Teleop100.0
End17.5
blue by 36.9
171.11.6
160.2161.8
Auto17.9
Teleop138.7
End14.8
Second
5923
#11
124.21.8
121.1122.8
Auto14.5
Teleop90.9
End19.5
blue by 28.9
153.11.3
148.0149.3
Auto20.7
Teleop120.5
End12.4
Third
3103
#24
110.01.1
108.7109.8
Auto17.2
Teleop79.3
End15.0
red by 4.2
6488
#19
105.80.9
105.5106.4
Auto15.0
Teleop83.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed