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Qual 52018 Lone Star South Regional
Red188
3802171.1
636999.2
2587138.3
Blue359
624232.5
6898120.3
3735136.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2473680100200300400500600188359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#5
171.11.8
154.5→156.3
Auto17.9
Teleop138.7
End14.8
blue by 61.4
624
#1
232.52.1
199.6→201.7
Auto27.0
Teleop160.1
End44.6
Second
2587
#15
138.31.0
146.9→147.9
Auto18.1
Teleop110.4
End9.1
red by 1.8
3735
#20
136.51.5
133.0→134.4
Auto14.4
Teleop105.2
End18.9
Third
6369
#29
99.23.5
112.5→109.0
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End3.4
blue by 21.1
6898
#12
120.31.6
119.3→120.9
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned