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Red53
5829118.7
5427145.8
647100.9
Blue444
624232.5
3834113.8
2881117.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23736310020030040050060053444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#14
145.81.9
152.9151.0
Auto19.5
Teleop115.7
End10.1
blue by 86.7
624
#1
232.51.4
221.0222.4
Auto27.0
Teleop160.1
End44.6
Second
5829
#28
118.70.9
118.9119.8
Auto14.8
Teleop93.3
End11.3
red by 1.5
117.20.4
115.3114.9
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End9.6
Third
647
#27
100.92.4
111.4109.0
Auto10.2
Teleop84.5
End5.9
blue by 12.9
3834
#21
113.80.8
108.8109.6
Auto13.0
Teleop89.4
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned