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Red231
5414146.7
2587138.3
2582134.2
Blue369
3802171.1
6488105.8
4587183.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723470100200400500600231369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.71.6
144.7146.3
Auto21.2
Teleop116.8
End5.7
blue by 36.9
183.71.6
177.2178.8
Auto27.6
Teleop143.3
End14.0
Second
2587
#15
138.31.0
139.9140.8
Auto18.1
Teleop110.4
End9.1
blue by 32.8
171.11.6
161.8163.4
Auto17.9
Teleop138.7
End14.8
Third
2582
#16
134.20.6
138.5137.9
Auto16.0
Teleop100.0
End17.5
red by 28.4
6488
#19
105.81.0
106.4107.3
Auto15.0
Teleop83.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed