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Red271
5414146.7
2881117.2
507088.7
Blue76
3735136.5
6363104.3
6488105.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26027704006008001,0001,2001,40027176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.70.6
146.3146.8
Auto21.2
Teleop116.8
End5.7
red by 10.2
3735
#20
136.50.2
139.0138.8
Auto14.4
Teleop105.2
End18.9
Second
117.20.8
114.9115.7
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End9.6
red by 11.4
6488
#19
105.81.2
107.3108.5
Auto15.0
Teleop83.1
End4.9
Third
5070
#25
88.72.5
94.291.6
Auto10.1
Teleop68.4
End8.3
blue by 15.6
6363
#22
104.30.1
109.3109.2
Auto18.0
Teleop78.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed