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Qual 642018 Lone Star South Regional
Red195
5829118.7
3802171.1
6645102.6
Blue267
289794.3
4587183.7
5414146.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553360100200300400500600700195267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#5
171.12.2
165.1→167.3
Auto17.9
Teleop138.7
End14.8
blue by 12.6
4587
#4
183.71.7
180.5→182.2
Auto27.6
Teleop143.3
End14.0
Second
5829
#28
118.70.1
119.3→119.4
Auto14.8
Teleop93.3
End11.3
blue by 28.1
5414
#7
146.70.3
146.8→147.2
Auto21.2
Teleop116.8
End5.7
Third
6645
#26
102.60.5
105.1→104.6
Auto15.3
Teleop80.8
End4.3
red by 8.4
2897
#30
94.30.4
95.5→95.1
Auto13.3
Teleop75.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed