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Red244
231148.2
289794.3
3802171.1
Blue361
2881117.2
118229.0
1255132.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2483350100200300400500600244361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.10.1
156.3156.4
Auto17.9
Teleop138.7
End14.8
blue by 57.9
118
#2
229.00.6
216.5215.9
Auto27.5
Teleop163.0
End41.6
Second
231
#23
148.20.2
140.7140.5
Auto16.1
Teleop118.3
End14.9
red by 15.4
132.81.7
113.6115.3
Auto18.0
Teleop102.6
End12.9
Third
2897
#30
94.310.2
77.187.3
Auto13.3
Teleop75.6
End5.8
blue by 22.9
117.20.2
103.6103.4
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsEarned