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Red304
3481160.4
5572203.4
3335133.9
Blue276
323147.7
4610124.5
2848159.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3962670100200500600700304276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.40.4
202.4202.8
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End31.4
red by 43.5
2848
#29
159.90.3
160.2159.9
Auto24.3
Teleop124.7
End7.6
Second
160.40.6
158.9159.4
Auto19.6
Teleop121.9
End17.9
red by 12.6
323
#6
147.70.3
147.4147.7
Auto21.7
Teleop110.2
End17.6
Third
3335
#17
133.90.0
133.9133.9
Auto15.0
Teleop106.3
End14.2
red by 9.4
4610
#31
124.50.0
124.4124.5
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End9.7