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Red328
5417124.2
5414160.1
5986152.6
Blue174
2582120.3
2848159.9
1296166.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28934602006008001,0001,2001,4001,600328174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.10.1
150.4150.3
Auto21.6
Teleop126.1
End16.2
blue by 6.5
1296
#19
166.60.5
173.7174.2
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Second
5986
#16
152.60.8
154.3153.5
Auto19.2
Teleop122.1
End7.7
blue by 7.3
2848
#29
159.91.1
172.4171.3
Auto24.3
Teleop124.7
End7.6
Third
5417
#22
124.20.7
127.7128.4
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
red by 3.9
2582
#35
120.30.4
134.2133.8
Auto14.9
Teleop92.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed