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Red372
7179159.3
5572203.4
3999139.1
Blue93
5417124.2
2881121.4
1339164.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41225306008001,0001,2001,40037293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.40.8
196.1197.0
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End31.4
red by 39.0
1339
#25
164.40.9
182.2181.3
Auto24.0
Teleop123.2
End14.5
Second
7179
#14
159.31.4
155.9157.3
Auto18.4
Teleop119.1
End22.2
red by 35.1
5417
#22
124.21.2
128.4129.6
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
Third
3999
#24
139.10.6
145.9146.5
Auto20.8
Teleop104.3
End11.2
red by 17.7
2881
#15
121.41.3
117.2118.5
Auto17.8
Teleop94.8
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed