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Red316
456167.2
3481160.4
1296166.6
Blue291
4639144.5
2881121.4
5431168.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37326306008001,0001,2001,400316291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#21
167.21.1
175.6174.5
Auto19.7
Teleop125.4
End20.6
blue by 1.5
168.70.2
165.7165.9
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Second
1296
#19
166.61.1
173.2172.0
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
red by 22.1
4639
#10
144.50.1
140.8140.8
Auto20.4
Teleop96.5
End29.4
Third
160.41.6
160.7159.1
Auto19.6
Teleop121.9
End17.9
red by 39.0
2881
#15
121.40.4
118.5118.0
Auto17.8
Teleop94.8
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsMissed