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Red151
5829118.8
3999139.1
4639144.5
Blue468
5892135.2
4587198.6
5572203.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25141706008001,0001,2001,400151468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#10
144.51.4
143.8142.4
Auto20.4
Teleop96.5
End29.4
blue by 58.8
203.40.1
196.1196.1
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End31.4
Second
3999
#24
139.11.5
144.4145.9
Auto20.8
Teleop104.3
End11.2
blue by 59.5
198.60.0
187.9187.9
Auto20.6
Teleop147.4
End31.9
Third
5829
#27
118.80.2
116.5116.3
Auto16.0
Teleop88.4
End17.3
blue by 16.4
5892
#12
135.21.6
137.1135.5
Auto16.9
Teleop104.2
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsEarned