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Red259
5417124.2
7179159.3
3997138.1
Blue365
3735140.2
2587131.6
5892135.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288298200250350400259365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7179
#14
159.30.4
158.8159.2
Auto18.4
Teleop119.1
End22.2
red by 19.1
3735
#11
140.21.0
138.0139.0
Auto15.9
Teleop104.3
End22.5
Second
3997
#28
138.10.9
139.0138.1
Auto18.2
Teleop108.5
End9.0
red by 2.9
5892
#12
135.20.7
133.4134.1
Auto16.9
Teleop104.2
End15.1
Third
5417
#22
124.20.6
125.5124.9
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
blue by 7.4
2587
#18
131.60.4
132.0131.6
Auto17.6
Teleop105.2
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed