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Red285
1339164.4
5572203.4
2582120.3
Blue384
3847160.1
5431168.7
456167.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342355200250300400450285384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.41.5
200.6202.1
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End31.4
red by 34.7
168.70.5
168.2168.8
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Second
1339
#25
164.42.4
171.3168.9
Auto24.0
Teleop123.2
End14.5
blue by 2.8
456
#21
167.21.4
170.2168.8
Auto19.7
Teleop125.4
End20.6
Third
2582
#35
120.32.5
122.9120.3
Auto14.9
Teleop92.8
End7.7
blue by 39.8
3847
#26
160.11.3
163.1161.8
Auto24.4
Teleop119.8
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed